LATEST NEWS

National hurricane center isaac

National hurricane center isaac





National hurricane center isaac-Track where hurricanes and tropical storms may go via spaghetti models.



( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

Hurricane Spaghetti Models

Individual storm spaghetti models

Interactive spaghetti model map

91 AL spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 49 knots
  • Average: 48.1578947368421 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • TCLP: 73 knots
  • SHF5: 60 knots
  • OCD5: 60 knots
  • SHIP: 58 knots
  • DSHP: 58 knots
  • HWFI: 56 knots
  • LGEM: 51 knots
  • ICON: 51 knots
  • IVCN: 50 knots
  • CTC2: 49 knots
  • HMNI: 48 knots
  • RVCN: 45 knots
  • AVNI: 45 knots
  • AEMI: 42 knots
  • COTI: 39 knots
  • CEM2: 38 knots
  • NGX2: 32 knots
  • NVGI: 30 knots
  • CMC2: 30 knots

05 AL spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 140 knots
  • Average: 144.34782608695653 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • NVGI: 176 knots
  • NGX2: 166 knots
  • EGR2: 162 knots
  • CMC2: 146 knots
  • CEM2: 146 knots
  • AEMI: 144 knots
  • TCLP: 140 knots
  • SHIP: 140 knots
  • SHF5: 140 knots
  • RVCN: 140 knots
  • OFCL: 140 knots
  • OFCI: 140 knots
  • OCD5: 140 knots
  • LGEM: 140 knots
  • IVCN: 140 knots
  • ICON: 140 knots
  • HWFI: 140 knots
  • HMNI: 140 knots
  • DSHP: 140 knots
  • DRCL: 140 knots
  • CTCI: 140 knots
  • COTI: 140 knots
  • AVNI: 140 knots

11 EP spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 80 knots
  • Average: 78.76 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • OFCL: 90 knots
  • DRCL: 90 knots
  • NVGI: 88 knots
  • NGX2: 88 knots
  • EGR2: 88 knots
  • SHIP: 86 knots
  • OFCI: 86 knots
  • DSHP: 86 knots
  • RI25: 85 knots
  • CTCI: 85 knots
  • COTI: 83 knots
  • IVCN: 80 knots
  • HWFI: 80 knots
  • ICON: 79 knots
  • RVCN: 78 knots
  • IVRI: 78 knots
  • LGEM: 77 knots
  • HMNI: 75 knots
  • AVNI: 73 knots
  • SHF5: 69 knots
  • OCD5: 69 knots
  • TCLP: 68 knots
  • CMC2: 66 knots
  • CEM2: 61 knots
  • AEMI: 61 knots

93 AL spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 37 knots
  • Average: 46.57142857142857 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • SHF5: 66 knots
  • OCD5: 64 knots
  • SHIP: 55 knots
  • LGEM: 37 knots
  • IVCN: 36 knots
  • DSHP: 35 knots
  • TCLP: 33 knots

92 AL spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 43 knots
  • Average: 45.22222222222222 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • SHF5: 60 knots
  • OCD5: 60 knots
  • TCLP: 54 knots
  • SHIP: 43 knots
  • DSHP: 43 knots
  • CTCI: 40 knots
  • IVCN: 37 knots
  • RVCN: 35 knots
  • LGEM: 35 knots

91 WP spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 34.0 knots
  • Average: 36.11538461538461 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • HWRF: 51 knots
  • COTC: 48 knots
  • AP18: 44 knots
  • AP13: 44 knots
  • AP08: 43 knots
  • AC00: 43 knots
  • NVGM: 39 knots
  • AVNX: 36 knots
  • AP14: 35 knots
  • AP10: 35 knots
  • AP06: 35 knots
  • AP04: 35 knots
  • AP20: 34 knots
  • AP03: 34 knots
  • AP17: 33 knots
  • AP09: 33 knots
  • AP05: 33 knots
  • AP02: 33 knots
  • AP15: 32 knots
  • AP12: 32 knots
  • AP11: 32 knots
  • AP07: 32 knots
  • AEMN: 32 knots
  • AP01: 31 knots
  • AP19: 30 knots
  • AP16: 30 knots

15 WP spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 65 knots
  • Average: 67.58823529411765 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • HWRF: 96 knots
  • AVNX: 87 knots
  • AP08: 76 knots
  • AP14: 75 knots
  • AP18: 71 knots
  • AP09: 70 knots
  • AP17: 69 knots
  • AP19: 65 knots
  • AP13: 65 knots
  • COTC: 62 knots
  • AP20: 62 knots
  • NVGM: 60 knots
  • AP16: 60 knots
  • AP12: 60 knots
  • AP11: 58 knots
  • AP10: 58 knots
  • AP15: 55 knots

14 WP spaghetti models

Highest predicted winds
  • Median: 38.5 knots
  • Average: 42.19230769230769 knots
Highest predicted winds of all models
  • NVGM: 91 knots
  • HWRF: 65 knots
  • COTC: 59 knots
  • AP18: 49 knots
  • AP15: 47 knots
  • AP02: 45 knots
  • AP11: 44 knots
  • AP19: 42 knots
  • AP17: 42 knots
  • AP10: 42 knots
  • AVNX: 41 knots
  • AP12: 41 knots
  • AP01: 41 knots
  • AP14: 36 knots
  • AP08: 36 knots
  • AP06: 36 knots
  • AEMN: 36 knots
  • AP16: 35 knots
  • AP05: 35 knots
  • AP03: 35 knots
  • AC00: 35 knots
  • AP09: 34 knots
  • AP07: 34 knots
  • AP20: 32 knots
  • AP13: 32 knots
  • AP04: 32 knots

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 91AL

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 05AL

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 11EP

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 93AL

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 92AL

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 91WP

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 15WP

Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 14WP

Spaghetti Models from South Flor >

Future Tropical Cyclones

What are spaghetti models?

What are spaghetti models? Spaghetti models (also called spaghetti plots) is the nickname given to the computer models that show potential tropical cyclone paths. When shown together, the individual model tracks can somewhat resemble strands of spaghetti.

Why would I want to view spaghetti models? In short, it gives you a way to see where a tropical storm or hurricane may head. It can also give insight into whether the models are in agreement on the path of the storm (for instance, all models show Florida in the path of a hurricane) or if there is a wide differing opinion on where the storm may go. For instance, in the case of Tropical Storm Debby, the original NHC storm path had her going straight west to Texas, but if you viewed the spaghetti models at that time, you would have had a glimpse into just how uncertain Debby’s path was. Debby’s spaghetti models had her making landfall from anywhere from Texas to Florida to everywhere in between.

Spaghetti models are also useful in the case of a developing storm system that has not officially become a tropical depression or a tropical storm, meaning that no agency has released an official path. In these instances, spaghetti models can serve to give you an early heads up as to where a future tropical storm or hurricane may head.

However, once a tropical disturbance has officially become a tropical cyclone, different government agencies (e.g. the National Hurricane Center for the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic basins) release an official best guess path based on their analysis of the different model data and other factors. These forecasts should be used for official planning, though the spaghetti plots can still be quite useful for seeing how confident all of the models are (e.g., in the case of Debby listed above).

The Different Spaghetti Models

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

]]>

National hurricane center isaac




SOURCE: http://www.cyclocane.com/spaghetti-models/


National hurricane center isaac

Apartments News Auto News Car News Credit News Insurance News Loan News Top News Pharma News Real Estate News Rental News Travel News USA News National hurricane center isaac

Written by American News


Leave a Reply